Categories
Uncategorized

Atlas Q4 Earnings Thoughts

Atlas had a banner 2021. They added an incredible amount of long duration contracted revenue. They were the only shipowner that undertook massive contracted new build programs. Injury rates are at industry lows. You can’t really ask more from a company that is reshaping the containership leasing business.

However what makes me most excited about the business is the culture set by David Sokol. Long term thinking. A culture of execution. A series commitment to sharp capital allocation. A focus on providing novel solutions for customers.

Most shareholders I encounter are here for the incredible spot rates that ships are leasing for today and hoping for some sort of short term action to boost the share price. Few focus on the contracted revenue that will start hitting in 2023 and 2024 or the goal setting of the organization to grow the energy business to equal or larger than the ship leasing business in 10 years.

Almost nobody focuses on the conservative and countercyclical nature of the management approach, in this case in reference to how to grow the nascent energy business:

But APR at some point will have similar opportunities and you just have to — you have to see through my experience in the last 40 years in the investing business, particularly when you’re looking for levelized business models is that things happen about every 5 to 7 years in different industries, and they provide enormous opportunity. I’ll never ever forget when Enron filed for bankruptcy. That opened up 18 months of the best investment opportunities in the energy industry. And those things –they happen in each industry and then they happen over time, you just can’t always predict them. But we’re just not going to jump into things on the come. We will get involved where we know we can develop long-term sustainable cash flows andcontinue to build the shareholder value for Atlas.

ATCO Q4-2021 Earnings Transcript

I expect an economic downturn to be kind to Atlas over a full cycle.